Race 11B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 54.6% 27.9% 12.1% 4.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 17.0% 26.7% 32.5% 17.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 20.6% 31.8% 30.9% 12.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Etain McKinney 1.8% 3.2% 5.3% 18.5% 21.5% 21.9% 14.7% 9.1% 3.6% 0.4%
natalie dugan 3.2% 5.9% 9.6% 20.3% 25.6% 18.1% 10.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Gretchen Evan 0.1% 0.8% 1.4% 4.2% 5.1% 9.1% 12.7% 17.0% 28.1% 21.5%
Catherine Ferrey 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 8.0% 14.9% 18.4% 20.8% 18.4% 10.6% 4.0%
Hosni Berker 0.8% 1.5% 4.0% 8.9% 15.1% 15.9% 19.0% 19.3% 11.2% 4.3%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 3.7% 6.3% 10.8% 14.6% 20.0% 25.5% 16.4%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 3.0% 3.4% 7.3% 11.5% 19.4% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.