Race 12B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Lively 22.6% 32.6% 26.9% 12.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 52.1% 31.3% 12.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 17.2% 23.3% 35.4% 17.2% 5.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Ferrey 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 8.3% 14.2% 17.7% 21.9% 16.6% 11.6% 4.2%
Hosni Berker 1.2% 2.1% 4.4% 9.0% 12.1% 16.6% 21.1% 17.2% 12.8% 3.5%
Etain McKinney 2.3% 4.4% 6.3% 17.3% 21.3% 21.1% 14.4% 9.2% 3.4% 0.3%
natalie dugan 2.4% 3.8% 7.9% 23.3% 25.8% 19.0% 11.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Gretchen Evan 0.3% 0.3% 1.5% 3.3% 7.4% 8.5% 11.1% 19.4% 27.6% 20.6%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 4.8% 6.0% 9.3% 15.3% 20.7% 23.5% 18.1%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 4.8% 11.7% 19.8% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.