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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+3.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08-0.69vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.13-1.30vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.05-1.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-0.29vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.78-2.00vs Predicted
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11Williams College-4.06+0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-2.59vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-3.97-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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2.31Tufts University2.080.3%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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7.83Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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5.51University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.0McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.17Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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11.12Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 31.2% | 26.1% | 23.0% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 34.6% | 28.5% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 12.3% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ferrara | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 26.8% | 16.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 24.8% | 15.1% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Janson | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 8.9% | 35.3% | 48.6% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 40.2% | 20.1% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 9.3% | 37.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.