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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.05+2.54vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+0.63vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.78+2.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-3.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-0.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-3.92vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-1.69vs Predicted
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12Williams College-4.06-0.82vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-3.97-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Tufts University2.080.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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5.54University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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7.08McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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11.18Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
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11.11Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 33.7% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 11.5% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.3% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Janson | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 9.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 31.3% | 26.5% | 20.4% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 24.7% | 14.9% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Alec Bodenski | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ferrara | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 24.7% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 41.0% | 17.8% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 8.3% | 35.9% | 49.5% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 36.6% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.