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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08-0.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-1.59vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.05+0.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-0.81vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.78-0.06vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-1.27vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-2.25vs Predicted
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11Williams College-4.06+0.18vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-2.58vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-3.97-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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2.35Tufts University2.080.4%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.54University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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6.94McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.75Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.18Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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11.12Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 6.5% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 11.9% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 35.6% | 25.0% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 31.8% | 28.5% | 19.6% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Janson | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 15.4% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Nick Ferrara | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 24.3% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 9.1% | 34.9% | 48.9% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 41.5% | 19.5% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 37.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.