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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+3.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+0.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.05+0.59vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.78+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.13-3.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.91vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-0.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-3.30vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-3.97-0.90vs Predicted
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13Williams College-4.06-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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2.48Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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2.35Tufts University2.080.3%1st Place
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5.59University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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7.07McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.68University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.78Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.1Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
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11.2Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 30.1% | 28.0% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 34.1% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Janson | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 9.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Gear | 13.4% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 16.1% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 41.2% | 18.0% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 26.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 9.3% | 37.5% | 46.3% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 35.0% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.