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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+2.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+0.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.05+0.60vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.57-1.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22+0.81vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.78-1.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-3.94vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-1.65vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-3.97-0.90vs Predicted
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13Williams College-4.06-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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2.32Tufts University2.080.3%1st Place
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5.6University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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4.64Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.97McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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11.1Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
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11.21Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Gear | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 30.3% | 28.5% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 34.2% | 28.7% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.4% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Theodore Janson | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ferrara | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 24.5% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 40.6% | 18.1% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 8.4% | 39.1% | 45.3% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 8.3% | 35.4% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.