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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+1.37vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+0.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.05+0.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-0.29vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-1.23vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.78-3.00vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-1.67vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-3.97-0.89vs Predicted
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13Williams College-4.06-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Tufts University2.080.3%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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2.42Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.77Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.0McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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11.11Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
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11.18Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 33.2% | 27.3% | 19.8% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 6.7% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 14.1% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 31.7% | 29.6% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 23.4% | 15.9% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 27.3% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Janson | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 41.4% | 17.4% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 9.9% | 38.1% | 45.5% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 34.9% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.