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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.66vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+1.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08-1.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-2.55vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.05-0.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.99vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.78-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-0.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-2.66vs Predicted
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11Williams College-4.06-0.75vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-3.97-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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4.45Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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2.31Tufts University2.080.3%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.36University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.5McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.25Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
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10.13Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Gear | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 33.7% | 28.4% | 21.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 31.3% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Janson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 25.0% | 21.4% | 11.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 18.8% | 41.1% | 20.3% | 3.9% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 31.7% | 21.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 10.8% | 32.8% | 51.4% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 39.7% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.