← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Elliott Gear 12.0% 16.8% 17.5% 22.3% 16.3% 10.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 8.4% 8.9% 13.0% 20.2% 18.4% 16.2% 10.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 33.7% 28.4% 21.2% 9.3% 5.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 31.3% 25.9% 22.2% 11.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Bouchard 4.7% 6.0% 8.7% 11.7% 15.6% 21.6% 18.0% 10.8% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alec Bodenski 4.5% 7.9% 10.1% 14.4% 21.0% 18.3% 14.7% 6.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Theodore Janson 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 5.1% 9.6% 16.3% 25.0% 21.4% 11.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Tomasz Dvorak 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 6.9% 18.8% 41.1% 20.3% 3.9%
Kyle Boucher 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 5.0% 8.9% 17.7% 31.7% 21.0% 5.1% 0.9%
Patrick Hodgson 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 2.6% 10.8% 32.8% 51.4%
Christopher Rabasa 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 4.0% 9.6% 39.7% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.