Race 8A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alec Bodenski 4.7% 6.3% 9.9% 15.4% 19.6% 22.5% 14.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 36.0% 27.6% 19.5% 11.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 12.2% 15.4% 20.5% 20.6% 15.2% 10.1% 5.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 29.6% 28.5% 21.1% 11.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Bouchard 5.3% 6.1% 8.7% 12.2% 16.0% 19.8% 18.1% 10.9% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 7.5% 10.7% 12.9% 17.5% 20.3% 16.3% 9.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Tomasz Dvorak 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 6.7% 15.9% 43.2% 20.4% 3.2%
Kyle Boucher 1.8% 1.3% 2.1% 3.9% 6.7% 10.7% 18.8% 29.9% 19.9% 4.5% 0.4%
Theodore Janson 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 8.0% 12.6% 24.8% 26.0% 11.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Christopher Rabasa 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 3.7% 10.2% 37.1% 46.7%
Patrick Hodgson 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 10.3% 35.4% 49.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.