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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+0.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08-1.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.57-0.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.05-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-1.38vs Predicted
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10Williams College-4.06-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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3.59University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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2.24Tufts University2.080.4%1st Place
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4.17Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.06University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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8.74Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 31.1% | 28.5% | 21.0% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 11.5% | 15.5% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 36.7% | 27.8% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alec Bodenski | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 47.1% | 21.5% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 20.4% | 28.7% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 13.9% | 60.7% | 13.7% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 10.9% | 84.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.