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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+2.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+0.44vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+0.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22+1.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.08-3.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.30-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.05-3.96vs Predicted
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10Williams College-4.06-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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2.44Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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4.28Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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2.2Tufts University2.080.4%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.300.0%1st Place
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5.04University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
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8.75Williams College-4.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Gear | 13.3% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 27.2% | 31.4% | 22.0% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 45.5% | 19.9% | 2.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 39.3% | 26.6% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 11.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tomasz Dvorak | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 15.3% | 60.7% | 13.8% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 28.1% | 15.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Hodgson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 12.5% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.