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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.10+1.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.04+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89+5.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.71-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.58+0.20vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96+2.67vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.75+3.16vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-0.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.02-5.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-4.54vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.84-1.48vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.94-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Northeastern University2.100.3%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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3.09Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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8.67Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.16Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.29McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.27University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.52Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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12.08Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hegarty | 32.9% | 27.7% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 10.9% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 23.0% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 8.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 26.8% | 11.6% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Morrison | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mia Gates | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 29.7% | 17.2% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.