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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.10+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.58+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+1.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.71-0.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.04-0.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.57vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.36+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89+0.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-1.19vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.75+0.22vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-2.45vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.84-1.46vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.94-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Northeastern University2.100.3%1st Place
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5.28University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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4.37University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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4.26Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.25McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.22Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.55Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.54Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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12.06Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hegarty | 33.5% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 22.2% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Morrison | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 26.6% | 13.1% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Mia Gates | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 26.9% | 18.2% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 19.1% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.