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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.71+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.58+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+1.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.10-1.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.04-0.76vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96+2.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54+0.66vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-0.68vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.75+1.32vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.84+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89-2.59vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-2.94+0.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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4.39University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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2.47Northeastern University2.100.3%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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8.68Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.32McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.32Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.38Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.06Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Fedde | 23.5% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 33.7% | 26.0% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 13.3% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Morrison | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 26.6% | 14.5% |
| Mia Gates | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 28.4% | 15.5% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 62.6% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.