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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.71+2.10vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.10+0.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.04+1.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.58-0.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89+0.53vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.75+1.29vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-2.63vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-2.43vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.84-1.49vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.94-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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2.46Northeastern University2.100.3%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.29Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.37McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.57Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.51Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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12.07Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Fedde | 22.9% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 33.3% | 27.1% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morrison | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 28.0% | 13.4% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Mia Gates | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 28.2% | 17.1% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 18.6% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.