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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.10+1.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.71+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+1.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.04+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.58+0.20vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96+2.66vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.36+0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89-0.42vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-2.25vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.84-0.66vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.75-1.62vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.94-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Northeastern University2.100.3%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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4.35University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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8.66Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.26McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.34Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.38Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.08Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hegarty | 33.4% | 24.0% | 20.0% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 23.5% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.2% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.1% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Morrison | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Mia Gates | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 25.2% | 14.6% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 27.9% | 14.4% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.