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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.10+1.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.71+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+1.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.04+0.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.58-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89+1.46vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96+0.68vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.36-1.58vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.84+0.38vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-3.39vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.75-1.60vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.94-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Northeastern University2.100.3%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University1.710.2%1st Place
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4.4University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.68Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.42McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.38Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.4Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.07Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Hegarty | 33.5% | 25.5% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 24.5% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.6% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Runci | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Chisholm | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Mia Gates | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 15.7% |
| Andrew Morrison | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 26.1% | 15.1% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 18.3% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.