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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.34+2.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.04+1.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.58-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89+1.20vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-0.61vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.36-1.94vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.84+0.23vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-2.94+0.93vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.75-1.74vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Northeastern University1.340.2%1st Place
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3.83Tufts University1.040.2%1st Place
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4.61Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.88University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.06McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.23Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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11.93Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
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10.26Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.47Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sumner strumph | 23.4% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 17.2% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 16.0% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Runci | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Chisholm | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Morrison | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Mia Gates | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 23.1% | 16.7% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 19.1% | 57.6% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 15.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.