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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.34+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+1.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+1.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.04-1.20vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.36+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.58-2.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89-0.68vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.84+0.22vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-2.94+0.92vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.75-1.78vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Northeastern University1.340.2%1st Place
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3.87University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.040.2%1st Place
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6.97McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Vermont0.580.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.22Bates College-1.840.0%1st Place
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11.92Amherst College-2.940.0%1st Place
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10.22Williams College-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sumner strumph | 24.0% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 17.7% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Runci | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morrison | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Mia Gates | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 22.0% | 16.9% |
| Charlotte Harrison | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 19.9% | 57.2% |
| Priscilla Mercado | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 24.1% | 15.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.