Race 9B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
sumner strumph 23.7% 21.2% 17.6% 14.6% 12.0% 6.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Simms 13.3% 12.5% 15.3% 13.4% 15.0% 12.4% 8.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Auguste Pizzano 5.8% 6.2% 7.6% 7.6% 11.9% 14.9% 15.9% 14.1% 10.1% 5.0% 0.9%
Matthew Galbraith 16.3% 17.0% 16.9% 15.2% 13.6% 10.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Runci 12.5% 13.1% 11.4% 14.2% 12.8% 12.8% 11.9% 7.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Grace Cannon 17.8% 17.9% 16.2% 16.1% 12.1% 8.1% 6.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Chisholm 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 3.9% 5.2% 10.1% 12.4% 17.3% 17.9% 14.9% 7.6%
Andrew Morrison 4.1% 3.6% 5.3% 7.8% 7.6% 11.4% 16.5% 13.9% 15.5% 10.5% 3.8%
Mia Gates 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 1.6% 2.2% 3.4% 4.3% 8.8% 13.9% 22.7% 38.6%
Priscilla Mercado 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.9% 5.6% 10.7% 14.5% 23.8% 32.5%
Jack Eddy 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 9.9% 13.3% 19.9% 21.3% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.