Race 10B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
sumner strumph 24.1% 21.8% 16.6% 14.7% 11.4% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Runci 11.3% 11.3% 13.6% 16.3% 13.1% 13.1% 10.1% 7.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Auguste Pizzano 6.3% 5.9% 6.7% 8.3% 11.0% 16.2% 15.8% 14.1% 10.0% 5.1% 0.6%
Matthew Galbraith 15.9% 17.2% 15.8% 16.3% 13.9% 10.1% 6.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Grace Cannon 19.4% 17.2% 16.2% 13.8% 13.0% 10.2% 5.8% 3.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Chisholm 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 4.2% 6.2% 7.8% 12.8% 16.5% 19.3% 14.8% 9.8%
Andrew Morrison 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 6.0% 7.3% 12.0% 16.1% 15.9% 15.5% 9.0% 3.4%
Madeline Simms 13.1% 14.5% 16.2% 13.0% 14.2% 10.7% 9.4% 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Mia Gates 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.0% 4.1% 4.9% 8.2% 14.0% 23.7% 37.3%
Priscilla Mercado 0.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 6.0% 10.8% 14.4% 23.3% 32.7%
Jack Eddy 1.8% 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 5.9% 10.1% 12.4% 20.1% 22.4% 15.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.