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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+8.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+9.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+7.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20+9.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.14vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.65+5.94vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+2.94vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09+1.55vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.30vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-2.95vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.23-1.80vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-3.76vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.99+1.99vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.89vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-5.65vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-9.90vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-5.13vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-1.84vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.81-7.94vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.82-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.34Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.94Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.05Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.99Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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16.16Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.06Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Christian Filter | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| JC Hermus | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 21.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 35.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.