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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+8.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+9.33vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.33vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+6.99vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+5.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+2.40vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.20+4.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-2.93vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-3.36vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-4.63vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.93-8.85vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.65-4.14vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-5.12vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-1.82vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.99-4.41vs Predicted
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20Boston College2.81-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.33Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.71University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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16.18Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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14.59Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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11.18Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Christian Filter | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Jack Brown | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 36.2% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 19.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.