← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.12+8.65vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.23+7.04vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.31vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.09+5.81vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+4.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin2.65+5.96vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+2.60vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.97+2.11vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.06vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College1.99+4.75vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.62vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.69-4.74vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.47-4.62vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.81-2.98vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.59+0.91vs Predicted
-
16Yale University3.93-9.91vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.82-6.11vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.20-4.04vs Predicted
-
19Boston University2.75-7.67vs Predicted
-
20Tufts University2.61-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.65Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.04College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
9.81Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
11.96University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
-
10.11Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
14.75Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
-
9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.26Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.38Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.02Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.91Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
-
6.09Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
10.89Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.96University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
-
11.33Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
-
12.14Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Brown | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.8% |
| Mack Fox | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| JC Hermus | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 36.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.