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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+8.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.18vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.33vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+5.10vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65+6.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+3.87vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+4.46vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-1.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.11vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-3.93vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61+1.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-0.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-3.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-6.04vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.99-0.47vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.97-5.73vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-7.80vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-1.81vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.20-5.24vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.82-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.81University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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11.46Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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12.08Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.62Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.53Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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16.19Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Brown | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| Christian Filter | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 35.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.