← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.47+7.04vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.69+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+6.56vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.27vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.20vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.23+3.25vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.75+4.73vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.95vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.82+1.91vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.62vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College1.99+3.70vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.93-5.75vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.61-0.58vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.81-3.00vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.59+0.93vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.97-5.66vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.09-7.38vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin2.65-6.05vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island2.20-5.29vs Predicted
-
20Harvard University3.12-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.04Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.05Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.25College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
-
11.73Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.91Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
-
14.7Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
12.42Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.0Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.93Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
-
10.34Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.62Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.95University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
-
13.71University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.75Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Brown | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 19.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 35.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.