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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+8.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+6.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20+9.89vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+4.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+5.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12+1.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61+2.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-0.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-1.61vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-7.92vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59+0.89vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.69-8.92vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.99-2.39vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.76vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.65-7.22vs Predicted
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20Boston University2.75-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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11.18Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.42Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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15.89Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.61Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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11.48Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Christian Moffitt | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Mack Fox | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 34.8% |
| JC Hermus | 8.9% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 17.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.