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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+8.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+6.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.37vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.65+7.83vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+5.99vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.99+8.79vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+3.83vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.20+4.72vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-3.94vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.77vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-0.35vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-3.31vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-3.70vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.69-7.87vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.81-4.86vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-7.51vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-8.62vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.59-2.96vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston3.23-10.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.79Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.0%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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16.04Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 19.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Christian Moffitt | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 34.2% |
| Jack Brown | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.