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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+8.16vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65+9.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+9.13vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+7.31vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+4.13vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+2.06vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+4.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.90vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-2.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-1.58vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-0.66vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-2.27vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-7.94vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.53vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.12-6.39vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-7.45vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.20-4.14vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.99-4.43vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.59-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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12.13Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.31Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.39Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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6.99Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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13.86University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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14.57Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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16.22Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Jack Brown | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| JC Hermus | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| Joey Lark | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.