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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+9.28vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+9.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+5.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.23vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.20+8.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.25vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.65+5.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81+2.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-4.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-0.59vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-5.69vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.23-6.90vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.69-10.11vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.09-8.13vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.59-3.00vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.99-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.28Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.39Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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13.73University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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11.0Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.41Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.96Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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16.0Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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14.79Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Christian Moffitt | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Quinn Wilson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Brown | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| JC Hermus | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 33.6% |
| Ian Willoughby | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.