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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+7.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.10vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+6.82vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+3.09vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+4.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+4.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65+2.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.68vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-1.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.57vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-2.26vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-4.90vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.20-1.25vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.81-4.92vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-5.17vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.75-6.51vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.99-4.44vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.59-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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11.08Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.49Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.56Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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16.18Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| JC Hermus | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Jack Brown | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.