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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+10.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+8.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+2.19vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+2.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+3.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.25vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.20+2.87vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-0.36vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-2.88vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-4.94vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.76vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-7.90vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-5.91vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.99-4.48vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.59-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.81University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.22Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.0%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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11.64Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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14.52Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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16.21Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| Joey Lark | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.