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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+6.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+7.73vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+5.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+1.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.27vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+4.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.17vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.23-0.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75+0.43vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-3.80vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-1.60vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.65-2.13vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.57vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-4.02vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.99-2.48vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.20-4.07vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.97-8.73vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.59-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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11.39Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.15College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.43Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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14.52Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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16.19Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack Brown | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% |
| Christian Filter | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.