← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.93+5.14vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.47+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.61+9.03vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.69+3.14vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.75+6.25vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.23+3.23vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.59vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.82+2.76vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.81+2.00vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-0.61vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.20+2.88vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.12-2.13vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-3.30vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.09-5.21vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.99-1.40vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.04vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.97-7.55vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.65-7.21vs Predicted
-
20Salve Regina University1.59-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.06Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
12.03Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
7.14Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
11.25Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.23College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.76Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.0Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
-
9.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.0%1st Place
-
13.88University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.87Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.7University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.79Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
14.6Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
-
9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.45Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
11.79University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
-
16.25Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Jack Brown | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Mack Fox | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 20.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Christian Filter | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Joey Lark | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.