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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+8.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.24vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+6.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+2.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+2.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+3.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+2.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75+3.11vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82+1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.20+3.82vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61+1.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-2.50vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-4.66vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.59+2.06vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.84+0.07vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.81-4.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.02vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.65-6.13vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University3.09-9.35vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.97-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.94Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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12.08Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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16.06Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.07Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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11.03Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Joey Lark | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 33.9% |
| Sean Tallman | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.