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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+8.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+10.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+4.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+5.33vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59+10.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+2.58vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23+0.88vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.65+1.88vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.20+2.84vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-2.05vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-2.49vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.75-2.68vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-4.64vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.47-8.06vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.84-1.89vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.82-7.01vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.81-8.06vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.12-10.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.01Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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15.98Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.0%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.32Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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15.11Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.94Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.76Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| JC Hermus | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Joey Lark | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 16.7% | 33.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Quinn Wilson | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Jack Brown | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Christian Filter | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 21.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.