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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+6.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+7.16vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65+8.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+6.33vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+1.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+3.81vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+2.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61+2.82vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.83vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-0.71vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.75-1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-0.29vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.64vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.47-8.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-1.02vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.67vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College1.84-3.87vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.82-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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11.82Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.72Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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15.98Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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15.13Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Christian Filter | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Brown | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 31.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 24.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.