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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.06+7.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.27vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.09+10.30vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+5.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+2.29vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+4.31vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+6.21vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.39-0.93vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.62+1.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.25-2.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.55vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.12vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.01-5.13vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-3.57vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.28-3.66vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-1.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-7.05vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.70vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.18-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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13.21Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.75Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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15.97Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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12.98Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Morrell | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% |
| Luke Arnone | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Anthony Root | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 34.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.