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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+6.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.84+4.03vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+3.80vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.61+3.03vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.00+3.94vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-2.12vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.00-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.82+3.59vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82-2.57vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.64+1.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-5.13vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-6.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.84-8.97vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.03Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.8Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.03Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.94Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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3.88Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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5.54College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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12.15Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.03Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 19.1% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 27.9% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 22.2% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.