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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+8.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.39+5.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+6.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+3.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+6.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.91vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.06+2.02vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.17+4.74vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-2.44vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.75-1.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.62-1.74vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.01-5.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.17vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.09-2.73vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-4.76vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-7.52vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.18-6.21vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.38-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.89Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.74Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.26Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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12.79Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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16.12Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Luke Arnone | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| David Eastwood | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Matt Safford | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Anthony Root | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.