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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.25+5.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+4.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.39+2.26vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.06+0.55vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49+2.27vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62+0.83vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.37vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17+0.31vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-3.88vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.18vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.09-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-4.74vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-7.49vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.38-3.05vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.18-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.35College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.83Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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13.31Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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15.95Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.96Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Bayless | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| David Eastwood | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
| Matt Safford | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Anthony Root | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 35.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.