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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.06+7.71vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+9.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+7.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.39+3.26vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+2.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+3.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.09+4.18vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+0.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-2.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-0.89vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17+0.33vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.62-3.22vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-5.26vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.75-5.80vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-4.76vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-1.92vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.18-6.27vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-10.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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13.18University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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11.11Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.33Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.78Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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16.08Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.73Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Morrell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| David Eastwood | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Matt Safford | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Anthony Root | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 36.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.