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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+8.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+7.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.25+4.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+5.30vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.17+6.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.75+1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.28+2.36vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-3.57vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93+2.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.09-0.85vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.62-4.30vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-0.12vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.49-5.79vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.01-9.04vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.06-10.39vs Predicted
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20Yale University3.39-12.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.69Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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12.96Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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14.12Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.7Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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15.88Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| David Eastwood | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Matt Safford | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Anthony Root | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 34.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Luke Arnone | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.