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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.06+7.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+7.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+4.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.83vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+4.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+2.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.06vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.89vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.75+0.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49+0.42vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.62-0.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-1.78vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.39-6.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-2.75vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.09-2.84vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.93-3.25vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.17-5.04vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.74vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University1.38-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.98Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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11.04Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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13.75Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.96Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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16.08Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Morrell | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| David Eastwood | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Matt Safford | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Luke Arnone | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Anthony Root | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.