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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+7.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+3.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.06+3.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.28+5.63vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.39-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.09+4.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.54vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.62-0.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-1.85vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.01-5.11vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-3.66vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.72vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.17-4.27vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.75-7.73vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.38-3.09vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University1.93-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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12.63University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.83Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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12.73Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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15.91Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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14.05Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| David Eastwood | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Luke Arnone | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Matt Safford | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Anthony Root | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 34.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.