← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Florida2.84+1.50vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.77+0.53vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.62+1.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.43-1.03vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.55+0.14vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.47-3.06vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.62-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5University of Florida2.840.3%1st Place
-
2.53University of South Florida2.770.3%1st Place
-
4.92Florida State University0.620.0%1st Place
-
2.97University of Miami2.430.2%1st Place
-
5.14University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
-
2.94Eckerd College2.470.2%1st Place
-
4.92Florida State University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Famiglietti | 28.0% | 26.8% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan White | 28.4% | 24.8% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Lasky | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 35.7% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 18.1% | 19.7% | 24.5% | 24.7% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathon Ellington | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 29.8% | 51.7% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 19.5% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 23.8% | 11.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| David Lasky | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 35.7% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.