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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.39+6.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.62+7.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+4.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+6.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.16vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49+2.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61+0.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.92vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.01-2.80vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-5.34vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-3.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.06-6.21vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-0.08vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-6.78vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.17-4.96vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.09-5.79vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.18-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.98Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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15.92Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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13.04Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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13.01Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Arnone | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| David Eastwood | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Anthony Root | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 36.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.