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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.39+5.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.62+7.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.80vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.75+5.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+2.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.75vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.06-0.47vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.00vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28+1.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-0.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.25-4.82vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.09-0.85vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-7.62vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-0.08vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.83vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-7.58vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.17-6.20vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University1.93-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.87Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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15.92Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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10.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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12.8Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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14.04Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Luke Arnone | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Matt Safford | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Anthony Root | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 36.3% |
| David Eastwood | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.