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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+7.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+7.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.28+7.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+4.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+2.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.06+0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61+1.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.92vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93+2.18vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17+0.24vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.39-6.83vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-7.62vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.25-8.21vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.09-3.96vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-2.01vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.81vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College2.62-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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14.18Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.24Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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15.99Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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10.86Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Matt Safford | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| David Eastwood | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Anthony Root | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 34.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.